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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 2
Crusaders

Fitzpatrick (55'), Doran (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Heatley (69'), Lowry (90+2')
Forsythe (17'), Lowry (73')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 3-0 Glenavon
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Dungannon
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Glenavon win it was 2-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
17.55% (0.237 0.24) 20.73% (0.19 0.19) 61.72% (-0.425 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (-0.46 -0.46)41.52% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08% (-0.466 -0.47)63.91% (0.468 0.47)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.11% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1%73.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.06% (-0.264 -0.26)12.94% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.6% (-0.545 -0.55)39.4% (0.547 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 17.55%
    Crusaders 61.72%
    Draw 20.73%
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 4.82% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.76% (0.098 0.1)
2-0 @ 2.36% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 17.55%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.73%
0-2 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 6.84% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.78% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 61.72%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Glenavon
4-2
Crusaders
Campbell (36', 50'), Fitzpatrick (40'), O'Rourke (87' og.)
Rogers (71'), Doyle (81')
Lowry (48'), Joe Burns (70')
Joe Burns (37'), McMurray (63'), Forsythe (73')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
3-2
Glenavon
Lowry (44'), Lecky (64', 69')
Weir (23')
Campbell (38'), Scannell (50')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
0-0
Glenavon

Forsythe (45'), (65')

Snoddy (45')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
0-1
Glenavon

Robinson (63'), McMurray (85')
Campbell (9')
O'Connor (45+3'), Garrett (58')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
1-0
Crusaders
Fitzpatrick (85')
Singleton (38'), Snoddy (48'), O'Connor (50')

Forsythe (22'), Hegarty (33'), O'Rourke (67'), Weir (69'), Caddell (90')
Weir (70')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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