Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glentoran in this match.