NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Linfield4 - 2Glenavon
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Glenavon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dungannon 2-3 Linfield
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-0 Glenavon
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Linfield | Draw | Glenavon |
52.68% ( -0.09) | 23.37% ( -0) | 23.95% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.92% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% ( 0.09) | 44.77% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% ( 0.09) | 67.13% ( -0.09) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.02% | 16.98% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.91% ( 0) | 47.09% ( -0) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% ( 0.13) | 32.64% ( -0.13) |