Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 31, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Japan Women3 - 1Nigeria Women
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between Japan Women and Nigeria Women.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brazil Women 1-2 Japan Women
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Spain Women 1-0 Nigeria Women
Sunday, July 28 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Sunday, July 28 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 87.32%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 4.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 4-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a Nigeria Women win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan Women | Draw | Nigeria Women |
87.32% ( 7) | 8.68% ( -4.05) | 4.01% ( -2.94) |
| Both teams to score 45.93% ( -2.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
