Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Spain Women2 - 1Japan Women
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between Spain Women and Japan Women.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spain Women 1-0 England Women
Sunday, August 20 at 11am in Women's World Cup
Sunday, August 20 at 11am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 1-1 Brazil Women (0-1 pen.)
Tuesday, April 9 at 9pm in SheBelieves Cup
Tuesday, April 9 at 9pm in SheBelieves Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Japan Women win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain Women | Draw | Japan Women |
67.01% ( 0.01) | 18.56% | 14.43% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
