SheBelieves Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
USA Women2 - 1Japan Women
Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Semi-Finals clash between USA Women and Japan Women.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sweden Women 0-0 USA Women (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, August 6 at 10am in Women's World Cup
Sunday, August 6 at 10am in Women's World Cup
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands Women | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | USA Women | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Portugal Women | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Vietnam Women | 3 | -12 | 0 |
Last Game: Japan Women 1-2 Sweden Women
Friday, August 11 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup
Friday, August 11 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan Women | 3 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Spain Women | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Zambia Women | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 4 | Costa Rica Women | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Japan Women had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Japan Women win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA Women | Draw | Japan Women |
48.58% ( -1.5) | 25.44% ( 0.26) | 25.97% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
