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Spain national football team
Women's World Cup | Semi-Finals
Aug 15, 2023 at 9am UK
Eden Park
Sweden national football team

Spain Women
2 - 1
Sweden Women

Paralluelo (81'), Carmona (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blomqvist (88')

The Match

Match Report

Spain Women will compete in the Women's World Cup final for the first time thanks to a chaotic 2-1 win over Sweden Women in Tuesday's semi-final in Auckland.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's World Cup clash between Spain Women and Sweden Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Spain Women 2-1 N'lands Women
Friday, August 11 at 2am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 1-2 Sweden Women
Friday, August 11 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 69.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sweden Women had a probability of 13.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Sweden Women win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.

Result
Spain WomenDrawSweden Women
69.09%17.68%13.23%
Both teams to score 54.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91%36.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.8%58.2%
Spain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.54%9.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.25%31.75%
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69%39.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98%76.01%
Score Analysis
    Spain Women 69.08%
    Sweden Women 13.23%
    Draw 17.68%
Spain WomenDrawSweden Women
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.65%
1-0 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 7.59%
4-0 @ 4.79%
4-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 3.54%
5-0 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 2.09%
5-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 69.08%
1-1 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.51%
0-0 @ 3.72%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.68%
1-2 @ 3.82%
0-1 @ 3.47%
0-2 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.4%
1-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 13.23%

How you voted: Winner Quarter-final 1 vs Bath

Winner Quarter-final 1
47.2%
Draw
24.5%
Bath Rugby
28.3%
53
rhs 2.0
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