Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 28, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Nissan Stadium

France U23s
0 - 4
Japan U23s

Pembele (58'), Michelin (66')
Kolo (74')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kubo (27'), Sakai (34'), Miyoshi (70'), Maeda (90+1')
Tomiyasu (22'), Sakai (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between France Under-23s and Japan Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Japan Under-23s had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Japan Under-23s win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
France Under-23s	Draw	Japan Under-23s
42.34%	25.1%	32.56%

Both teams to score 56.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11%

46.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85%

69.15%

France Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.89%

22.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.53%

55.48%

Japan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55%

27.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.07%

62.93%

Score Analysis

France Under-23s 42.34%

Japan Under-23s 32.56%

Draw 25.1%

France Under-23s	Draw	Japan Under-23s
1-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.34%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.56%