Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-21s win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.93%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-21s would win this match.