Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.42%) and 2-3 (5.14%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.