Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-23s win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Southampton Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-23s would win this match.
