Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.