We said: Brentford 2-2 Arsenal
With Toney taking the Premier League by storm and galvanised by his England call-up, a prolific Brentford side can experience plenty of joy in front of goal versus a Gunners defence that have been a bit shaky in recent games.
The absence of Zinchenko will be felt given the impact that he has had on the Arsenal team so far, but Arteta's side respond well to conceding, and we can picture an entertaining London derby finishing all square as Arsenal risk losing their grip on top spot.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 0-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Brentford win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.