Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Watford |
52% | 24.39% | 23.61% |
Both teams to score 52.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.57% | 49.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.53% | 71.46% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% | 18.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.47% | 50.53% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.51% | 35.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.74% | 72.25% |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.11% Total : 51.99% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |