Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
