Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.