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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Nottingham Forest logo

Wolves
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Neves (56' pen.)
Podence (80'), Hodge (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dennis (16'), McKenna (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Wolves
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Aston Villa
Monday, October 10 at 8pm in Premier League

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 Nottingham Forest

 It would not be a complete surprise to see this encounter between two confidence-sapped sides end goalless, but the importance of Neves's return cannot be understated, and Wolves have proven a tough nut to crack more often than not at Molineux. With only one away goal to their name all season long, Forest's lack of ruthlessness is set to continue on another miserable away day, and Wolves can nick a goal against a shaky Tricky Trees backline to give their fans something to cheer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawNottingham Forest
49.04% (0.33 0.33) 26.32% (-0.133 -0.13) 24.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (0.323 0.32)56.07% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (0.262 0.26)77.15% (-0.268 -0.27)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.286 0.29)22.92% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.423 0.42)56.68% (-0.43 -0.43)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 49.04%
    Nottingham Forest 24.63%
    Draw 26.32%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 24.63%

How you voted: Wolves vs Nott'm Forest

Wolverhampton Wanderers
71.3%
Draw
19.5%
Nottingham Forest
9.2%
174
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2021 8pm
Nott'm Forest
0-4
Wolves
Saiss (58'), Podence (60'), Trincao (86'), Gibbs-White (88')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Wolves
0-2
Nott'm Forest

Coady (38'), Jota (64'), Bennett (90')
Dowell (40'), Osborn (43')
Fox (6'), Worrall (19'), Bridcutt (30')
Sep 16, 2017 3pm
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Wolves
Carayol (75')
Mills (82'), Bridcutt (90')
Jota (47', 81')
Cavaleiro (57'), Marshall (90')
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Wolves
1-0
Nott'm Forest
Dicko (62')
Batth (69'), Edwards (76')

Fox (56')
Fox (92')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
Nott'm Forest
0-2
Wolves

Vellios (32'), Mills (57')
Costa (40'), Cavaleiro (79')
Price (27'), Doherty (78'), Cavaleiro (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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