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Nottingham Forest logo
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
Crystal Palace logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Gibbs-White (54')
Yates (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitchell (30'), Ward (64'), Guehi (73'), Schlupp (88')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest beat Crystal Palace 1-0 to climb off the bottom of the Premier League table and move to within one point of safety ahead of the winter break.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawCrystal Palace
41.62% (0.218 0.22) 26.77% (-0.061 -0.06) 31.6% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.75% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (0.191 0.19)54.19% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.159 0.16)75.59% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32% (0.20099999999999 0.2)25.68% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (0.274 0.27)60.6% (-0.271 -0.27)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.72% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)68.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 41.62%
    Crystal Palace 31.6%
    Draw 26.77%
Nottingham ForestDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.6%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Crystal Palace

Nottingham Forest
30.1%
Draw
24.1%
Crystal Palace
45.8%
216
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2012 3pm
Crystal Palace
0-3
Nott'm Forest

Zaha (74'), McCarthy (75')
Majewski (53', 72', 82')
Dec 10, 2011 3pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Crystal Palace

Cunningham (55'), Greening (55'), Moussi (71'), Blackstock (90')
Murray (56')
Jedinak (37'), Zaha (55'), Murray (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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