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Nottingham Forest logo
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
Crystal Palace logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Gibbs-White (54')
Yates (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitchell (30'), Ward (64'), Guehi (73'), Schlupp (88')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest beat Crystal Palace 1-0 to climb off the bottom of the Premier League table and move to within one point of safety ahead of the winter break.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawCrystal Palace
41.62% (0.218 0.22) 26.77% (-0.061 -0.06) 31.6% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.75% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (0.191 0.19)54.19% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.159 0.16)75.59% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32% (0.20099999999999 0.2)25.68% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (0.274 0.27)60.6% (-0.271 -0.27)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.72% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)68.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 41.62%
    Crystal Palace 31.6%
    Draw 26.77%
Nottingham ForestDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.6%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Crystal Palace

Nottingham Forest
30.1%
Draw
24.1%
Crystal Palace
45.8%
216
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2012 3pm
Crystal Palace
0-3
Nott'm Forest

Zaha (74'), McCarthy (75')
Majewski (53', 72', 82')
Dec 10, 2011 3pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Crystal Palace

Cunningham (55'), Greening (55'), Moussi (71'), Blackstock (90')
Murray (56')
Jedinak (37'), Zaha (55'), Murray (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bills
10-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Bournemouth622289-18
12Brentford6213810-27
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton6015312-91
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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