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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
St James' Park
Wolves logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Wolves

Isak (26'), Almiron (79')
Isak (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hee-chan (70')
Podence (44'), Semedo (58')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United move into fifth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-1 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Spurs
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
58% (-0.178 -0.18) 23.86% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 18.13% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.1% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (-0.268 -0.27)53.63% (0.266 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.224 -0.22)75.13% (0.224 0.22)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (-0.166 -0.17)18.29% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64% (-0.281 -0.28)49.36% (0.279 0.28)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.41% (-0.064 -0.06)43.58% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)79.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 57.99%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.13%
    Draw 23.86%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 57.99%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Wolves

Newcastle United
66.1%
Draw
21.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
12.8%
180
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Newcastle
1-0
Wolves
Wood (72' pen.)
Schar (56')

Moutinho (87')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Wolves
2-1
Newcastle
Hee-chan (20', 58')
Lage (44')
Hendrick (41')
Clark (56'), Manquillo (60')
Feb 27, 2021 8pm
Oct 25, 2020 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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