Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
58% ( -0.18) | 23.86% ( 0.1) | 18.13% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.1% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.36% ( -0.27) | 53.63% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% ( -0.22) | 75.13% ( 0.22) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% ( -0.17) | 18.29% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.64% ( -0.28) | 49.36% ( 0.28) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.41% ( -0.06) | 43.58% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.22% ( -0.05) | 79.78% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 18.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
> Premier League Full Table |