Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.