Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 53.4%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.