We said: AVS 1-2 Santa Clara
Santa Clara picked up a hard-fought victory over Casa Pia last time out and will head into the weekend in high spirits as they continue their push for European football. AVS have struggled for consistency this season, and while we expect them to put up a fight, we are backing the visitors to come away with a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 44.93%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for AVS had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Santa Clara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.