Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, January 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, January 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 AVS
Although AVS have struggled this season, they have been difficult to beat, losing only one of their last five matches. However, given that Vitoria Guimaraes will be playing in their territory, we reckon a slim 1-0 win for the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for AVS had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | AVS |
61.26% ( -0.35) | 21.92% ( 0.16) | 16.82% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
