We said: AVS 1-1 Estrela Amadora
It has been a dissapointing end to 2024 for AVS, who will be looking to snap their nine-match winless run and gather momentum ahead of the start of the new year. Estrela, meanwhile, have blown hot and cold in recent weeks, and while their form on the road leaves a lot to be desired, we predict that they will hold out for a share of the spoils at the Estadio do Desportivo das Aves.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.