Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.