Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.