Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.13%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.