Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica1 - 3Liverpool
The Match
Team News
Trent Alexander-Arnold is named in the first XI for the first leg of Liverpool's Champions League tie with Benfica, but Jordan Henderson only makes the bench.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Benfica could line up for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Liverpool.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Benfica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
We said: Benfica 1-2 Liverpool
A Nunez-inspired Benfica ought to be well up for this colossal European tie in front of their own fans, but their veteran backline of Vertonghen and Otamendi could prove easy pickings for Liverpool's rampant attackers. Klopp admitted that his side did not create enough against Watford as the players begin to gel following the international break, and this may be a closer affair than the Reds would like, but they should still take advantage of Benfica's recent defensive lapses to claim a first-leg advantage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Liverpool |
| 31.49% | 24.55% | 43.96% |
| Both teams to score 57.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
