Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.19%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Porto |
| 12.07% | 19.82% | 68.11% |
| Both teams to score 44.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% | 48.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% | 70.79% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.78% | 49.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.89% | 84.11% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.73% | 13.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.92% | 40.08% |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 12.07%
Porto 68.11%
Draw 19.82%
| Nacional | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 4.63% 2-1 @ 3.32% 2-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.48% Total : 12.07% | 1-1 @ 9.35% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.82% | 0-2 @ 13.32% 0-1 @ 13.19% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 8.97% 1-3 @ 6.36% 0-4 @ 4.53% 1-4 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-5 @ 1.83% 1-5 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.58% Total : 68.11% |
How you voted: Nacional vs Porto
Nacional
5.3%Draw
5.3%Porto
89.5%19
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2020 8pm
Jan 7, 2019 9.15pm
Mar 4, 2017 6.15pm
Oct 1, 2016 8.30pm
Form Guide
