Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Nacional |
71.37% | 17.73% | 10.9% |
Both teams to score 46.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.34% | 42.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.93% | 65.07% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.35% | 10.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.51% | 34.49% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.51% | 47.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.15% | 82.85% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 12.68% 1-0 @ 11.32% 3-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-1 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 5.3% 4-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.89% Total : 71.36% | 1-1 @ 8.43% 0-0 @ 5.06% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.73% | 0-1 @ 3.77% 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.59% Total : 10.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |