Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Apr 2, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional1 - 5Portimonense
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Portimonense |
| 31.45% | 28.86% | 39.69% |
| Both teams to score 44.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
