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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 12, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Maritimo

Nacional
1 - 2
Maritimo

Gorre (44')
Bessa (70'), Kal (74'), Gorre (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pinho (58', 65')
Pinho (69'), Costa (90'), Abedzadeh (90+3'), Sassa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMaritimo
34.07%28.97%36.96%
Both teams to score 44.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.24%61.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.44%81.56%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06%33.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39%70.61%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96%32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5%68.5%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 34.06%
    Maritimo 36.96%
    Draw 28.96%
NacionalDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.06%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.96%
0-1 @ 12.37%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.96%

How you voted: Nacional vs Maritimo

Nacional
53.6%
Draw
28.6%
Maritimo
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Maritimo
0-0
Nacional
Junior (25')
Azouni (12'), Thill (21'), Ibrahim Alhassan (29')
Mar 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Maritimo
3-2
Nacional
Costa (5'), Joel (16' pen.), Getterson (35')
Vukovic (22'), Pelagio (85')
Camacho (11' pen.), Rochez (87' pen.)
Jota (60'), Rochez (66'), Camacho (84')
Nov 10, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-0
Maritimo
Camacho (65')
Julio (76'), Marakis (81'), Witi (91')

Junior (52'), Vukovic (61')
Feb 20, 2017 8pm
Maritimo
0-0
Nacional
Fransergio (63'), Costa (81')
Washington (63'), Willyan (67'), Correia (83')
Sep 16, 2016 8.30pm
Nacional
2-0
Maritimo
Agra (31'), Bonilla (96')
Figueiredo (62')

Raul (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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