Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
59.42% | 24.1% | 16.48% |
Both teams to score 42.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.25% | 56.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.3% | 77.7% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.07% | 18.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.56% | 50.44% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.47% | 47.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.12% | 82.88% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 14.97% 2-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 5.14% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.91% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.77% Total : 59.42% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 3.45% Other @ 0.51% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.69% 1-2 @ 4.14% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |