Al Gharafa

5 - 4

Al Arabi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.