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Real Sociedad logo
La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 13, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
Alaves logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Alaves

FT(HT: 0-0)

Laguardia (27')

Preview: Real Sociedad vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Real Sociedad will look to reignite their bid for a spot in the top four of the La Liga table on Sunday, when they entertain Alaves.

The hosts find themselves sixth after a defeat to Real Madrid last time out, while their visitors are embroiled in their own battle at the opposite end of the Spanish top flight.


Match preview

Real Sociedad coach Imanol Alguacil reacts on February 17, 2022© Reuters

After a defeat to Athletic Bilbao and an exit from the Europa League at the hands of RB Leipzig, Real Sociedad bounced back and boosted their claim for a top-four finish in La Liga with consecutive wins in February.

La Real firstly beat Osasuna 1-0 thanks to Aritz Elustondo's second-half goal, before David Silva and Mikel Merino fired them to a 2-0 win away at Mallorca.

In their bid to make it three wins on the bounce, Imanol Alguacil's side faced the tough test of a trip to league leaders Real Madrid last time out, and, despite taking an early lead through Mikel Oyarzabal, they eventually fell well short and left empty-handed after a 4-1 thrashing.

That meant they remained in sixth spot in the Spanish top flight but have seen the gap between themselves and fourth-placed Atletico Madrid stretch to four points, and, with only 11 league games left to play, they will aim to keep themselves in the race with a home win.

 Alaves' Victor Laguardia celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 25, 2021© Reuters

They take on an Alaves side in need of a victory for a different reason, as they aim to climb closer to safety.

Despite enjoying a resurgence last November, El Glorioso's survival hopes took a major hit as they had to endure an 11-game winless run between November and February.

Jose Luis Mendilibar's side were finally able to stop the rot with a 2-1 victory at home to Valencia in mid-February thanks to goals from Mamadou Loum and Joselu.

Following a defeat to Real Madrid, El Glorioso now head into Sunday on the back of consecutive defeats, with the most recent of those being particularly impressive as they held second-placed Sevilla to a goalless stalemate on home turf.

While they will be pleased with that performance, Mendilibar's side now sit 19th in the table, three points adrift of safety, and they will know that they need to post victories quickly to bridge that gap and jump out of the drop zone.

Real Sociedad La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Real Sociedad form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Alaves La Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D



Team News

Real Sociedad's Mikel Oyarzabal celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 5, 2022© Reuters

Real Sociedad will remain without Ander Barrenetxea and Carlos Fernandez due to injuries, while Nacho Monreal is also unlikely to feature.

Key midfielder Mikel Merino and winger Mikel Oyarzabal will both require assessments, although they are expected to start if deemed fit.

In the absence of Barrenetxea, Portu has often completed the front line alongside Alexander Isak and Oyarzabal, while Adnan Januzaj is also vying for a start at the weekend.

Alaves should come in with a clean bill of health, and they are unlikely to make many changes after a strong showing against Sevilla.

They will continue to rely heavily on forward Joselu, who has kept them in the fight for survival with 12 goals from 27 La Liga appearances this term.

Real Sociedad possible starting lineup:
Remiro; Zubeldia, Elustondo, Normand, Rico; Silva, Merino, Illarramendi; Januzaj, Isak, Oyarzabal

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Tenaglia, Laguardia, Lejeune, Duarte; Mendez, Escalante, Pons, Loum, Rioja; Joselu


SM words green background

We say: Real Sociedad 1-0 Alaves

Sunday's visitors certainly put up an impressive display to hold Sevilla, and they will hope to do the same here, but we see them falling short this time.

La Real will be wounded from their thrashing last time out, and with the need for a victory in their top-four fight, Alguacil's side should have what it takes to get over the line.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 68.74%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 11.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.22%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Alaves

Real Sociedad
92.9%
Draw
5.4%
Alaves
1.8%
56
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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