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[monks data]
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 26
May 4, 2021 at 7pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Rotherham logo

Luton
0 - 0
Rotherham

FT

Smith (43')

Preview: Luton Town vs. Rotherham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Rotherham United square off against Luton Town on Tuesday evening knowing that victory will put them on the brink of Championship survival.

However, anything less than maximum points at Kenilworth Road will leave the Millers needing to beat Cardiff City at the weekend to avoid dropping into the third tier.


Match preview

Rotherham United manager Paul Warne pictured on April 27, 2021© Reuters

Heading into the final five minutes of Saturday's fixture with Blackburn Rovers, Rotherham were facing the prospect of needing at least four points from their final two games.

However, Lewis Wing's late leveller has given his side the opportunity to move ahead of Derby County on goal difference with victory against the Hatters.

Still needing to win at least one of their remaining two games, Paul Warne must consider the pros and cons of going all out for three points when they could benefit from a draw ahead of the weekend.

Nevertheless, Rotherham now have some much-needed momentum after ending their five-match losing streak, recording their first points since April 13.

On a negative note, none of Rotherham's forward line have contributed a goal since three second-half strikes were scored against Queens Park Rangers on that date.

Luton Town's Elijah Adebayo celebrates after scoring their second goal on April 25, 2021© Reuters

While Luton have long been safe from the drop, Nathan Jones will want to end one of the club's best campaigns in recent memory with a top-10 finish.

The Hatters have been punching above their weight throughout the season and they only require one point from two matches to guarantee 12th spot.

Their latest step in the right direction came on Saturday as they recorded a 1-1 draw with Middlesbrough, extending their unbeaten streak to five games.

Glen Rea got on the scoresheet for Luton with the 26-year-old netting his first goal since the turn of the year.

Luton Town Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D

Rotherham United Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured on April 21, 2021© Reuters

Despite the short turnaround, Jones will consider selecting the same Luton XI which earned a share of the spoils with Boro.

While George Moncur and Kazenga LuaLua are in contention for starting roles, the duo will likely have to make do with a spot on the substitutes' bench.

Wes Harding is expected to be recalled to the Rotherham starting lineup in place of Angus MacDonald, who was withdrawn before half time against Blackburn.

Ben Wiles and Daniel Barlaser are also in contention to feature if Warne opts for fresh legs in midfield.

Matthew Olosunde is an alternative to Chiedozie Ogbene at right wing-back having remained as an unused substitute at the weekend.

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Bree, Pearson, Bradley, Naismith; Mpanzu, Rea; Cornick, Dewsbury-Hall, Adebayo; Collins

Rotherham United possible starting lineup:
Blackman; Ihiekwe, Wood, Harding; Olosunde, Barlaser, MacDonald, Wing, Giles; Ladapo, Smith


SM words green background

We say: Luton Town 1-1 Rotherham United

With a draw potentially not doing them any favours, Warne faces a balancing act ahead of this contest. Luton's recent unbeaten streak makes them the favourites, but we feel that the visitors could battle their way to a share of the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Luton vs Rotherham

Luton Town
70.1%
Draw
12.9%
Rotherham United
17.0%
147
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Rotherham United manager Paul Warne pictured on April 27, 2021
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