Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Fakel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, July 16 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, July 16 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fakel | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-2 Fakel
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Sochi | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Fakel | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Fakel |
41.96% ( 0.04) | 26.74% ( 0.03) | 31.3% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
