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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Fayha

Firmino (85')
Alnabit (90+2'), Kessie (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Haqawi (15'), Al Anzi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Raed 0-0 Al-Ahli
Thursday, May 23 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 1-1 Al-Taawoun
Thursday, May 23 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 1-2 Al Fayha

Al-Ahli might have been the stronger team throughout the season, but with nothing to play for it could open the game up for the visitors. Al Fayha can only move up one place, but that should be enough incentive to push them in this fixture, and with their strong away record they might just wrap up the campaign with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 71.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Fayha
71.34% (0.042999999999992 0.04) 16.69% (0.0010000000000012 0) 11.97% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.44% (-0.124 -0.12)34.56% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.5% (-0.14 -0.14)56.5% (0.142 0.14)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.45% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)8.55% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.43% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)29.57% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.75% (-0.153 -0.15)40.25% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.12% (-0.139 -0.14)76.88% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 71.34%
    Al Fayha 11.97%
    Draw 16.69%
Al-AhliDrawAl Fayha
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.53% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.25% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06%
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 71.34%
1-1 @ 7.7% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.44% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.69%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 11.97%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Fayha

Al-Ahli
68.8%
Draw
6.3%
Al Fayha
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Al Fayha
0-4
Al-Ahli

Al-Safari (65'), Sakala (87')
Albirakan (11', 30'), Majrashi (17'), Mahrez (43' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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