While six of Al Akhdoud's eight wins this season have come on their home patch, they are expected to struggle against this star-studded Al-Nassr side, who enter this match as massive favourites. The league title is likely to go to Al Hilal this weekend officially, but we feel the Knights of Najd will prolong matters for another couple of days by winning this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 2-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
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