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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 31
May 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium (Najran)
Al-Nassr

Al Okhdood
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Al Habib (60'), Godwin (70')
Al Rubaie (23'), Zekri (72'), Collado (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brozovic (7', 90+1'), Ronaldo (15')
Yahya (76'), Ronaldo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Okhdood and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Hazem 0-0 Al Okhdood
Thursday, May 2 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 6-0 Al Wahda
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Okhdood 1-3 Al-Nassr

While six of Al Akhdoud's eight wins this season have come on their home patch, they are expected to struggle against this star-studded Al-Nassr side, who enter this match as massive favourites. The league title is likely to go to Al Hilal this weekend officially, but we feel the Knights of Najd will prolong matters for another couple of days by winning this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 2-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al OkhdoodDrawAl-Nassr
21.15% (0.2 0.2) 21.71% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 57.14% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.82% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.5% (0.334 0.33)40.49% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.12% (0.34200000000001 0.34)62.87% (-0.342 -0.34)
Al Okhdood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.377 0.38)32.77% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.42 0.42)69.33% (-0.42 -0.42)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (0.053000000000011 0.05)13.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5% (0.106 0.11)41.5% (-0.106 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Al Okhdood 21.15%
    Al-Nassr 57.14%
    Draw 21.7%
Al OkhdoodDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 5.61% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.11% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.85% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 21.15%
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.02% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 6.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 5.82% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.86% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.78% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.13% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 57.14%

How you voted: Al Okhdood vs Al-Nassr

Al Okhdood
3.8%
Draw
1.9%
Al-Nassr
94.2%
52
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Al-Nassr
3-0
Al Okhdood
Al Naji (13'), Ronaldo (77', 80')

Tanase (26'), Tawamba (34'), Al-Harthi (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal55001651115
2Al Ittihad5401156912
3Al-Nassr5320113811
4Al Quadisiya531151410
5Al ShababAl Shabab43013129
6Al Ettifaq43014409
7Al-AhliAl-Ahli52127527
8Al Orubah521267-17
9Al Riyadh5212810-27
10Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun42024316
11Al RaedAl Raed41127434
12Al Kholood5113711-44
13Al Okhdood511359-44
14Al Khaleej511327-54
15Al Fayha5113310-74
16Al WahdaAl Wahda5113614-84
17Damac5104710-33
18Al Fateh5104410-63


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