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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 26
Apr 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena
Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
1 - 3
Al-Nassr

Albulayhi (62')
Neves (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al Hassan (45+4'), Ronaldo (47', 88' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-2 Al-Hilal
Saturday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Nassr

With so much at stake this week, Al-Nassr will be desperate to claw at their opponents' six-point cushion, so expect a close-fought contest. That being said, Al-Hilal have made their home ground into a fortress over the years, and with such an impressive defensive record, it is difficult to see the hosts dropping points on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 62.17%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 3-1 (7.41%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (4.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
62.17% (-1.063 -1.06) 18.91% (0.353 0.35) 18.92% (0.71 0.71)
Both teams to score 64.36% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.67% (-0.533 -0.53)30.32% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.42% (-0.64 -0.64)51.58% (0.642 0.64)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51% (-0.395 -0.39)9.48% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.17% (-0.938 -0.94)31.82% (0.939 0.94)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (0.357 0.36)28.89% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (0.442 0.44)64.76% (-0.44199999999999 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 62.17%
    Al-Nassr 18.92%
    Draw 18.91%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 4.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.36% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.52% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 62.17%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.74% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.91%
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.158 0.16)
0-1 @ 3.4% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 18.92%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
Draw
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal
49.2%
Draw
15.3%
Al-Nassr
35.6%
59
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 9
Al-Nassr
1-1
Al-Hilal
Talisca (1')
Brozovic (20'), Mane (43'), Ronaldo (45+1'), Alkhaibari (52'), Otavio (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (78')
Malcom (57'), Kanoo (60'), Albulayhi (82'), Al-Dawsari (90+4')
May 17, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 32
Al-Nassr
1-1
Al-Hilal
Otavio (1')
Mane (41'), Brozovic (65'), Laporte (68'), Al-Khaibari (87')
Mitrovic (90+10' pen.)
Kanoo (24'), Neves (36'), Milinkovic-Savic (63')
Feb 8, 2024 6pm
Club Friendlies
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al-Nassr
Milinkovic-Savic (17'), Al-Dawsari (30')
Malcom (28'), Lodi (63'), Mitrovic (90+2')

Talisca (8'), Brozovic (22'), Ronaldo (53'), Otavio (85'), Yahya (90+6')
Dec 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 15
Al-Hilal
3-0
Al-Nassr
Milinkovic-Savic (64'), Mitrovic (90', 90+2')
Mitrovic (69'), Koulibaly (79'), Malcom (90+5'), Jahfali (90+10')
Albulayhi (90+3')

Otavio (40'), Yahya (90+2')
Oct 19, 2021 7pm
Semi-Finals
Al-Nassr
1-2
Al-Hilal
Talisca (50')
Al-Ghanam (75'), Al Amri (85')
Alawjami (45+2')
Marega (17'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Jang (21'), Albulayhi (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad27205263263765
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal27184574324258
3Al-Nassr27176458292957
4Al-AhliAl-Ahli27164752272552
5Al Quadisiya27164739241552
6Al ShababAl Shabab27154852312149
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun2710893025538
8Al Ettifaq27107103438-437
9Al Riyadh2797112837-934
10Al Khaleej2796123343-1033
11Al Kholood2794143451-1731
12Al Fayha27611102134-1329
13Damac2777133042-1228
14Al Fateh2775153351-1826
15Al Orubah2782172253-3126
16Al Okhdood2766152741-1424
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2765163257-2523
18Al RaedAl Raed2753192950-2118


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