MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:27:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Fahd Sport City Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
3 - 0
Al-Nassr

Milinkovic-Savic (64'), Mitrovic (90', 90+2')
Mitrovic (69'), Koulibaly (79'), Malcom (90+5'), Jahfali (90+10')
Albulayhi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Otavio (40'), Yahya (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Navbahor 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-0 Persepolis
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Nassr

 Both these sides come into this match carrying excellent league form, but the visitors did show a few signs of weakness in midweek, especially after the withdrawal of the league's top scorer, Cristiano Ronaldo. The hosts, though, were solid in their AFC Champions League outing, and their unbeaten record this season cannot be ignored. We are expecting a high-quality encounter here but are siding with Al Hilal to edge the contest by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
44.95% (-0.305 -0.31) 23.44% (0.321 0.32) 31.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.98% (-1.205 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (-1.572 -1.57)39.55% (1.57 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1% (-1.656 -1.66)61.89% (1.655 1.66)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.744 -0.74)17.94% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-1.29 -1.29)48.76% (1.288 1.29)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)24.46% (0.773 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (-1.104 -1.1)58.9% (1.101 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 44.95%
    Al-Nassr 31.61%
    Draw 23.43%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.368 0.37)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.165 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.313 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.311 0.31)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.61%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
33.0%
Draw
10.0%
Al-Nassr
57.0%
100
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7pm
Semi-Finals
Al-Nassr
1-2
Al-Hilal
Talisca (50')
Al-Ghanam (75'), Al Amri (85')
Alawjami (45+2')
Marega (17'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Jang (21'), Albulayhi (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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