An entertaining yet closely-fought contest could be on the cards between two attack-minded teams who are set to be boosted by the return of a number of key players. Al-Hilal will be seeking revenge against Al-Nassr following their final defeat in the Arab Club Champions Cup, and considering their recent record against their Riyadh rivals, we can see the Blue Wave edging this encounter, potentially via a penalty shootout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Al-Nassr
49.31% ( -1.15)	20.82% ( 0.39)	29.87% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 70.91% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.5% (

-1.43)

27.49% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.89% (

-1.81)

48.11% (

1.81)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.1% (

-0.83)

11.9% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.76% (

-1.79)

37.24% (

1.79)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.49% (

-0.32)

19.51% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.61% (

-0.53)

51.39% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 49.31%

Al-Nassr 29.87%

Draw 20.82%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.31%	1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.82%	1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.12% Total : 29.87%