Al Ettifaq have struggled to perform in front of their own fans this season, but they have played to a higher standard since returning to action in recent weeks. However, Abha will have gained confidence from their victory last weekend.
We expect the hosts to have too much individual quality for the visitors to deal with, and Gerrard's side could find themselves a few places higher in the table by recording another victory and clean sheet.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Abha had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.
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