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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
3 - 4
Al-Hilal

Romarinho (16'), Benzema (38'), Hamdallah (45+8')
Hawsawi (41'), Bamsaud (63'), Al-Amri (90+12')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Mitrovic (20', 60', 65' pen.), Al-Dawsari (71')
Albulayhi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 0-3 Al Ittihad
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ettifaq
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-2 Al-Hilal

Given the number of stars and talents scattered across both teams, we anticipate a thrilling affair at the Prince Abdullah Al Faisal Stadium. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we see them cancelling out each other's efforts in a high-scoring stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
29.26% (-0.853 -0.85) 27.39% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 43.34% (0.808 0.81)
Both teams to score 47.88% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (-0.486 -0.49)57.35% (0.485 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82% (-0.389 -0.39)78.18% (0.387 0.39)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91% (-0.904 -0.9)35.08% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (-0.96 -0.96)71.83% (0.958 0.96)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (0.19500000000001 0.2)26.24% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (0.264 0.26)61.34% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 29.26%
    Al-Hilal 43.33%
    Draw 27.39%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 12.31% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.24% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.33%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Hilal

Al Ittihad
48.6%
Draw
20.0%
Al-Hilal
31.4%
35
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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