Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.