Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
48.91% ( 0) | 24.48% ( -0.01) | 26.61% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.95% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.7% ( 0.03) | 47.3% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% ( 0.03) | 69.53% ( -0.03) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% ( 0.01) | 19.39% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.8% ( 0.02) | 51.2% ( -0.02) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.17% ( 0.02) | 31.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.73% ( 0.02) | 68.27% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
5 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
6 | Partick ThistlePartick | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |