Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
3 - 0
Queen's Park

Duffy (39')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thomas (74'), Williamson (84')
Longridge (81'), Boateng (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-2 Inverness
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Queen's Park

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 3-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Queen's Park
52.45% ( 4.6)	22.31% ( -1.06)	25.24% ( -3.54)

Both teams to score 61.06% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.36% (

2.15)

38.63% (

-2.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.06% (

2.24)

60.93% (

-2.24)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.14% (

2.42)

14.86% (

-2.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.81% (

4.44)

43.18% (

-4.44)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71% (

-1.41)

28.29% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.99% (

-1.82)

64.01% (

1.81)

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 52.45%

Queen's Park 25.24%

Draw 22.3%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Queen's Park
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.63) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.67) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.48) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.27) Other @ 4.09% Total : 52.45%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.6) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.44) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.3%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.65) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.8) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.66) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.35) Other @ 3.53% Total : 25.24%