Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.