Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.