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Motherwell logo
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Fir Park
Hibs logo

Motherwell
1 - 2
Hibernian

Efford (43')
Roberts (7'), McGinley (80'), Lamie (83')
Mugabi (2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Melkersen (15', 37')
Melkersen (11'), Jasper (54'), Allan (85'), Macey (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Motherwell and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 6-0 Motherwell
Saturday, May 14 at 12.15pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 4-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Hibernian vs. Clyde
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Motherwell 0-2 Hibernian

Cup football is unpredictable, which is why it proves to be so popular, but Hibernian are in much richer form heading into this match right now, and that should benefit them. Even away from home, the Hibees should be able to take confidence from the performances that they have put together as of late, especially against an out-of-form Motherwell side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawHibernian
29.67%26.64%43.69%
Both teams to score 50.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64%54.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26%75.74%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8%33.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2%69.8%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.25%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 29.67%
    Hibernian 43.69%
    Draw 26.64%
MotherwellDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.04%
2-1 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 8.02%
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.69%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Hibernian

Motherwell
Draw
Hibernian
Motherwell
23.1%
Draw
15.4%
Hibernian
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Hibernian
1-1
Motherwell
Nisbet (33')
Newell (64'), Campbell (74')
Watt (60')
Slattery (42'), van Veen (75'), Goss (90+2')
Aug 1, 2021 4.30pm
Motherwell
2-3
Hibernian
Van Veen (12'), Mugabi (29')
Carroll (22'), Slattery (31'), van Veen (55'), O'Donnell (69'), Kelly (70')
Magennis (17'), Doidge (56'), Boyle (70' pen.)
Hanlon (48'), Stevenson (59'), Porteous (76')
Apr 24, 2021 5pm
Hibernian
2-2
Motherwell
Hibernian win 4-2 on penalties
Doidge (52'), Irvine (80')
Gogic (45'), Boyle (88'), Irvine (115'), Hallberg (120+2')
Gogic (120+2')
Lamie (82'), Watt (88')
O'Hara (112'), McGinley (120')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Hibernian
0-2
Motherwell

Doidge (36'), Boyle (80'), Hanlon (81')
Roberts (25'), Cole (46')
rhs 2.0
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