Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
McDiarmid Park
St Johnstone0 - 1Rangers
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-4 Livingston
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-3 Rangers
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: St Johnstone 0-2 Rangers
Rangers will be eager to put right the shock defeat that they suffered in their last match at McDiarmid Park, and we think that they will emerge as comfortable winners. Beale is still undefeated as boss, with his side performing much better since his appointment, and we cannot see that run coming to an end against an out-of-sorts St Mirren side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Rangers |
11.75% ( 0.19) | 18.64% ( -0.09) | 69.61% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.76% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
